/ May 14, 2025

The Stock Market’s Boomerang Month Has Put Investors in a Bind

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The stock market is now higher than before President Trump’s broad and steep tariffs sent share prices into a tailspin. The 10-year government bond yield is now largely in line with where it started the year. On Tuesday, a widely watched measure of inflation nudged lower.

Judging from a snapshot of today’s financial markets, it would be easy to conclude that very little had happened over the last four and a half months.

As the administration has dialed down its trade offensive, delaying the worst of the tariffs announced on April 2 and promoting a long list of trade deals in the works, stocks have risen and the unnerving volatility in the government bond market — which Mr. Trump noted when he first began pausing his tariffs — has subsided.

On Tuesday, the latest reading of the Consumer Price Index showed a slower pace of inflation in April than economists had predicted, despite widespread concerns that tariffs could have sped up price increases.

The S&P 500, which came close to hitting a bear market early last month, is now up slightly since the start of the year, after a 0.7 percent gain on Tuesday.

Still, investors remained cautious, and complain that the outlook remains uncertain, with little clarity on what the final level of tariffs will be.

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